Definitely Maybe

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Predictions based on Polymarket betting odds. Not financial advice.

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Trending News

a building with a lot of confetti on it
sports
36%

Oklahoma City Thunder to Win 2026 NBA Championship (36%)

Thunder as strong NBA championship favorite at 36% in 30-team field - dominant position, high volume sports story

This market is to predict the winner of the 2025–26 NBA Finals.

Volume: $265.6M
Ends in 3 months
BREAKING
10 and 20 euro banknotes
sports
59%

Arsenal to Win Premier League Title (59%)

Arsenal as Premier League favorite at 59% in competitive 25-team race - uncertain outcome in major sports league

Volume: $240.9M
Ends in 2 months
BREAKING
a large white building with a gold domed roof and a green lawn
politics
45%

J.D. Vance to Win 2028 Republican Presidential Nomination (45%)

Strong frontrunner in 128-option field at 45% - Vance emerging as clear GOP favorite is highly newsworthy political development

$309.8M
Ends 11/7/2028
HOT
the flag of the country of iraq flying in the sky
finance
95%

Trump to Reshape Fed Leadership by 2026; Tariff Policies Face Supreme Court Defeat

President Trump will nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair, a move expected to reshape monetary policy direction by the end of 2026 (95%). Meanwhile, the administration's tariff agenda faces significant legal headwinds, as the Supreme Court is expected to rule against Trump's tariff policies before December 2026 (75%). These twin developments will likely define the economic policy landscape heading into the final years of Trump's term.

$495.7M
Ends in 9 months
HOT
Illuminated exit sign in dark room
crypto
75%

Major Crypto Events to Unfold (75%)

Vague 'events as predicted' headline with minimal volume ($2K) - lacks specificity and newsworthiness

$2.4K
Ends in 2 weeks
HOT
a close up of the flag of the country of iraq
geopolitics
69%

US to Strike Iran by June 2026 (69%)

Major geopolitical action - US strike on Iran at 69% is highly uncertain and time-sensitive breaking news with massive implications

$310.1M
Ends in 3 months
HOT
U.S. capitol hill
politics
50%

Global Elections 2026-2028: Seoul and Paris Set for New Leaders as US Race Remains Open

Park Chan-dae will become Incheon's next mayor in June 2026 (91%), while Chong Won-oh is set to take Seoul's top office the same month (78%). Emmanuel Grégoire is expected to win the Paris mayoral race by March 2026 (69%). Looking ahead to 2028, Democrats are slightly favored to reclaim the White House in November (55%), though the presidential field remains wide open with no clear frontrunner emerging (50%).

$303.9M
Ends 11/7/2028
HOT
people walking on street near white concrete building during daytime
politics
50%

Democratic 2028 Nomination Wide Open with No Clear Frontrunner (50%)

Wide-open 2028 Dem nomination with no frontrunner - massive volume, genuine uncertainty in major political race

$681.0M
Ends 11/7/2028
HOT
a group of people standing outside a store
sports
52%

Real Madrid to Win La Liga (52%)

Real Madrid slight favorite at 52% for La Liga - genuine uncertainty in major football league title race

$91.2M
Ends in 2 months
HOT
red and white kanji text wall mounted signage
sports
19%

Arsenal to Win Champions League (19%)

Arsenal at 19% in 60-team Champions League field makes them clear favorite - prestigious competition

$231.1M
Ends in 2 months
HOT
the spanish flag is flying high in the sky
sports
17%

Spain to Win 2026 FIFA World Cup (17%)

Spain as World Cup favorite at 17% in 60-nation field - major global sporting event with significant lead

$163.7M
Ends in 4 months
Apple sports logo on a dark background
sports
50%

NBA MVP Race Wide Open with No Clear Frontrunner (50%)

NBA MVP race wide open at 50% across 33 options - competitive sports race with no clear leader

$35.1M
Ends in 2 months
a close up of a football on a black background
sports
22%

Colorado Avalanche to Win 2026 Stanley Cup (22%)

Avalanche at 22% in 32-team Stanley Cup race - clear NHL favorite with good volume

$31.3M
Ends in 3 months
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
politics
89%

Trump to Remain in Office Through 2026, China Visit by Spring

President Trump will remain in office through 2026, with no resignation (94%) or impeachment (87%) expected before year's end. Trump is set to visit China by April 30 (89%) and will likely meet with President Xi Jinping later in 2026 (95%). The Supreme Court is expected to issue a ruling on Trump's tariff policies by March 31 (69%), while efforts to acquire Greenland will not materialize before 2027 (89%).

$28.1M
Ends in 9 months
girl in white and black stripe shirt holding yellow and red plastic cup
politics
12%

María Corina Machado to Lead Venezuela by End of 2026 (12%)

María Corina Machado at 12% in 57-option field - underdog with potential for major political change in Venezuela

$46.8M
Ends in 9 months
10 and 20 euro banknotes
finance
48%

Viking Therapeutics Acquisition Odds at Coin-Flip Before 2027 (48%)

Viking Therapeutics acquisition at coin-flip odds - corporate M&A uncertainty with decent volume

$16.2M
Ends in 9 months
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
sports
74%

Paul Thomas Anderson's 'One Battle After Another' Set to Dominate March 2026 Oscars

The 98th Academy Awards ceremony on March 15, 2026 will crown 'One Battle After Another' as Best Picture (74%), with Paul Thomas Anderson taking home Best Director (90%) and Best Adapted Screenplay (89%). Timothée Chalamet is expected to win Best Actor (78%), while supporting honors will go to Stellan Skarsgård (69%) and Teyana Taylor (71%). In technical categories, 'Frankenstein' will sweep craft awards including Costume Design (87%), Makeup and Hairstyling (89%), and Production Design (78%), as 'KPop Demon Hunters' claims Best Animated Feature (93%).

$16.1M
Ends in 2 days
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
61%

Russia-Ukraine War to Continue Through 2026 Without Ceasefire

The Russia-Ukraine conflict will persist without a ceasefire through at least the first half of 2026, with no diplomatic breakthrough expected by February 28 (99%) or March 31 (97%). Fighting is likely to continue through June 2026 (81%), with the war expected to extend through year-end without a formal ceasefire (61%). Ukraine will likely maintain its territorial stance, refusing to cede land to Russia before 2027 (72%).

$9.9M
Ends in 9 months
Apple sports logo on a dark background
geopolitics
60%

Playboi Carti to Drop Album Before GTA VI (60%)

Most informative non-obvious prediction at 60% - humorous comparison to long-awaited game

$17.5M
Ends in 4 months
U.S. capitol hill
politics
84%

Government Shutdown Won't Last 5 Days (84%)

Shutdown WON'T last 5 days at 84% - negative prediction about non-event

$16.7M
Ends in 2 weeks
a pile of bitcoins sitting on top of a red table
geopolitics
91%

Dutch Government Coalition Formation Remains Uncertain (91%)

Dutch coalition at 91% uncertain - ongoing political situation but high confidence of continued uncertainty

$61.0M
Ends in 7 months
a person holding a sign that says open business as new normal
finance
93%

Fed to Hold Rates Steady Through Spring 2026 as Warsh Nomination Looms

The Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady at its March meeting (93%) and maintain the pause through April (77%), following a cut-pause-pause pattern through the first quarter (93%). Kevin Warsh is expected to be formally nominated as the next Fed Chair by the end of February (86%), though current Chair Jerome Powell will remain in his position through at least May 2026 (94%). Looking ahead, the Fed will likely cut rates by June (77%) and bring them down to 3.25% or lower before 2027 (92%).

$140.5M
Ends in 5 days
assorted-flag
politics
61%

Péter Magyar to Become Hungary's Next Prime Minister (61%)

Magyar leads Orbán (37%) in succession race, significant European political shift.

$18.6M
Ends in 1 month
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
97%

U.S. Won't Invade Venezuela by March 2026 (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$13.6M
Ends in 2 weeks
a bunch of different colored balls with flags on them
geopolitics
100%

Somalia to Be Next Country US Strikes (100%)

Somalia next US strike at 100% - already determined, no uncertainty remains

$13.7M
Ends in 9 months
girl in white and black stripe shirt holding yellow and red plastic cup
culture
97%

Jesus Christ Won't Return Before 2027 (97%)

Jesus Christ WON'T return at 97% - absurd non-event prediction with no real news value

$29.1M
Ends in 9 months
a bunch of different colored balls with flags on them
geopolitics
61%

US-Israel Military Action Against Iran by Mid-2026 as Ceasefire Breaks Down

The fragile Israel-Iran ceasefire will collapse by June 2026 (67%), setting the stage for renewed hostilities in the region. Iran is expected to strike Israel before December 2026 (72%), while the United States will likely launch strikes against Iranian targets before Israel does (62%). Through February 2026, direct strikes on Tehran remain unlikely (80%), but military action by either the US or Israel is expected by March 2026 (61%).

$14.9M
Ends in 9 months
gold round coin on brown and black box
crypto
100%

Bitcoin to Dip to $65,000 by End of 2026 (100%)

Bitcoin WILL dip to $65K at 100% certainty - already known outcome, no uncertainty

$18.3M
Ends in 9 months
Apple sports logo on a reflective surface
culture
56%

Epstein Blackmail Evidence Won't Drop by March 31 (56%)

Ranked by trading volume

$11.0M
Ends in 2 weeks
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
78%

Khamenei to Remain Iran's Supreme Leader Through March (78%)

Ranked by trading volume

$14.3M
Ends in 2 weeks
a pile of different bank notes laying on top of each other
tech
69%

MegaETH to Launch Above $800M Market Cap (69%)

Ranked by trading volume

$11.9M
Ends in 3 months
people walking near white concrete building during daytime
politics
99%

All Major World Leaders to Remain in Power Through 2026 (99%+)

Ranked by trading volume

$9.5M
Ends in 9 months
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
90%

China Won't Invade Taiwan by End of 2026 (90%)

Ranked by trading volume

$9.0M
Ends in 9 months
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
83%

US Won't Acquire Greenland in 2026 (83%)

Ranked by trading volume

$8.3M
Ends in 9 months
a man walking out of a store
tech
89%

Zama to Launch Above $300M Valuation (89%)

Ranked by trading volume

$5.1M
Ends in 9 months
Apple sports logo on a dark background
sports
30%

George Russell to Win 2026 F1 Championship (30%)

Ranked by trading volume

$7.5M
Ends in 8 months
people walking near white concrete building during daytime
culture
92%

Xi Jinping Won't Lose Power Before 2027 (92%)

Ranked by trading volume

$6.1M
Ends in 9 months
Two flags flying in the wind on a sunny day
geopolitics
92.25%

Trump to Establish Gaza 'Board of Peace' by March 31 (92%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$282.8K
Ends in 2 weeks
a group of people holding a protest sign
sports
79%

PSG to Win 2025-26 French Ligue 1 (79%)

Ranked by trading volume

$6.3M
Ends in 2 months
a computer chip is shown in front of a black background
tech
56%

US to See 5,000+ Measles Cases in 2026 (56%)

Ranked by trading volume

$6.7M
Ends in 9 months
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
88%

Iranian Regime Won't Fall by March 31 (88%)

Ranked by trading volume

$5.0M
Ends in 2 weeks
a man holding a red and white kite on top of a tennis court
sports
51%

Oklahoma City Thunder to Win NBA Western Conference (51%)

Ranked by trading volume

$5.1M
Ends in 3 months
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
63%

Khamenei Won't Leave as Iran's Supreme Leader by June (63%)

Ranked by trading volume

$5.5M
Ends in 3 months
a man walking out of a store
tech
81%

Opinion Token to Launch Above $250M FDV (81%)

Ranked by trading volume

$5.1M
Ends 1/1/2028
Empty stadium seating with running track below
sports
97%

GTA VI Won't Release Before June 2026 (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$4.5M
Ends in 2 months
a man walking out of a store
tech
99.95%

Trove Won't Reach $20M FDV Day After Launch (100%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$2.4M
Ends in 9 months
a man walking out of a store
tech
99.95%

Fogo FDV to Exceed $300M One Day After Launch (100%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$4.1M
Ends in 9 months
a large group of people standing around each other
crypto
91%

Discord to IPO Before 2027 (91%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.8M
Ends in 9 months
woman ride on teal bike watching poster at the street
culture
80%

Epstein Client List Won't Be Released by June 30 (80%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.8M
Ends in 3 months
a man walking out of a store
tech
56%

Puffpaw FDV Won't Exceed $50M Day After Launch (56%)

Ranked by trading volume

$4.1M
Ends in 9 months
assorted-colored flags waving in the wind
geopolitics
85%

Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Won't Break by March 2026 (85%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.9M
Ends in 3 months
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
95%

Yoon Suk Yeol to Receive 30+ Years Prison Sentence (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.4M
Ends in 9 months
a man walking out of a store
politics
86%

Tim Walz Won't Resign by December 2026 (86%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.4M
Ends in 3 months
grayscale photo of basketball hoop
sports
9%

Israel to Win Eurovision 2026 (9%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.4M
Ends in 2 months
four assorted-denomination banknotes
tech
69%

OpenSea Token to Launch Above $500M FDV (69%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.3M
Ends in 9 months
white and black corded computer mouse
tech
80%

Sentient to Launch Above $800M FDV (80%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.0M
Ends in 9 months
a man walking out of a store
tech
89%

US Won't Confirm Alien Existence Before 2027 (89%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.1M
Ends in 9 months
a man walking out of a store
politics
84%

Democrats to Win House in 2026 Midterms (84%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.1M
Ends in 7 months
brown bear on green grass field during daytime
sports
70%

Nuggets to Beat Grizzlies (70%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.1M
Ends in 6 days
10 and 20 euro banknotes
tech
56%

EdgeX to Launch Above $1B FDV (56%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.0M
Ends in 9 months
Two flags flying in the wind on a sunny day
geopolitics
63%

US to Strike Somalia Next (63%)

Ranked by trading volume

$795.1K
Ends in 9 months
A group of people playing a video game
culture
100%

Zama Auction to Clear Between $0.04 and $0.05 (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.0M
Ends in 9 months
white and black braille typewriter
sports
8%

New York Yankees to Win 2026 World Series (8%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.1M
Ends in 7 months
a gold coin with a cross on it
sports
26%

Cleveland Cavaliers to Win NBA Eastern Conference (26%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.9M
Ends in 3 months
people walking on street near white concrete building during daytime
crypto
73%

Trump and Machado to Share Nobel Peace Prize (73%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.5%)

$488.1K
Ends in 9 months
a person is playing a game on a yellow device
tech
94%

Space Public Sale to Exceed $16M in Commitments (94%)

Ranked by trading volume

$641.8K
Ends in 9 months
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
92%

US Won't Strike Mexico by March 2026 (92%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.6M
Ends in 9 months
Many flags are waving in the wind.
geopolitics
94%

China Won't Face Coup Attempt Before 2027 (94%)

Ranked by trading volume

$97.4K
Ends in 9 months
a red and yellow flag on a flagpole
crypto
93.5%

Crypto Payment Cards Won't Hit $1.5B Volume by March 31 (94%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.5%)

$2.3K
Ends in 2 weeks
Apple sports logo on a dark background
sports
50%

Scottie Scheffler to Win 2026 Masters (50%)

Ranked by trading volume

$3.0M
Ends in 1 month
A close up of a door handle on a door
culture
93.5%

2026 Midterm Elections to Proceed as Scheduled (94%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$46.5K
Ends in 9 months
The russian flag waves against a blue sky.
geopolitics
86%

Kadyrov Won't Leave Chechen Leadership by March 2026 (86%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 1.0%)

$14.3K
Ends in 9 months
a man walking out of a store
sports
95%

Bayern Munich to Win 2025-26 Bundesliga (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.8M
Ends in 2 months
a black and white photo with the letter g in it
crypto
99.95%

New York Giants Head Coach Search Concludes - All Major Candidates Eliminated (100%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$190.1K
Ends in 1 month
a group of people standing on top of a tennis court
sports
12%

Seattle Seahawks Lead Early 2027 NFL Championship Odds (12%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.9M
Ends in 11 months
A young African American woman casting her ballot in 1964
politics
82%

Zhang Youxia Won't Be Sentenced to Prison Before 2027 (82%)

Ranked by trading volume

$56.6K
Ends in 9 months
A yellow arcade machine sitting on top of a wooden floor
tech
100%

Fogo to Launch Token by March 31, 2026 (100%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$388.4K
Ends in 9 months
a close up of a typewriter with a paper on it
crypto
99.85000000000001%

John Harbaugh to Join New York Giants (100%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$145.1K
Ends in 1 month
a person is playing a game on a yellow device
crypto
81%

No Record Crypto Liquidation in 2026 (81%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$41.5K
Ends in 9 months
A metal clock with the date 2055 on it
tech
99.65%

South Korea's Yoon to Be Sentenced to Prison Before 2027 (100%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$49.6K
Ends in 9 months
red yellow and green flags
geopolitics
88.5%

US Won't Clash Militarily With Denmark Before 2027 (89%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.5%)

$5.8K
Ends in 9 months
a close up of a sign on a wall
sports
54%

Bucks to Beat Mavericks (54%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.1M
Ends in 2 weeks
a yellow toy camera sitting on top of a table
crypto
83%

USD Stablecoins to Maintain 99%+ Market Share in 2026 (83%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$33.8K
Ends in 9 months
a man walking out of a store
tech
66.5%

Trump Won't Flip the Bird Again in 2026 (67%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$29.7K
Ends in 9 months
gold and silver round coin
culture
90.5%

Ukraine to Advance Through Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final (91%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$17.7K
Ends in 2 months
red and white stop sign
sports
86%

Inter to Win 2025-26 Serie A Title (86%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.5M
Ends in 2 months
The russian flag waves against a blue sky.
finance
96%

Elon Musk Won't Buy Ryanair (96%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.4M
Ends in 3 months
two people dressed up as clowns working on a laptop
culture
63%

Hurupay Public Sale Won't Reach $5M in Commitments (63%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.9M
Ends in 1 month
100 banknote on black surface
crypto
67%

Ethereum Won't Reach $3,500 by End of 2026 (67%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.7M
Ends in 9 months
a pile of money sitting on top of a table
tech
97%

Based Token Won't Reach $500M FDV at Launch (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.4M
Ends in 9 months
white concrete building under blue sky during daytime
politics
44%

2026 Midterms: Republican Senate, Democratic House to Split Congress (44%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.4M
Ends in 7 months
red and white stop sign
crypto
97%

Putin Won't Meet Zelenskyy by March 31 (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.3M
Ends in 2 weeks
a few people in space suits
tech
94%

No Human Moon Landing in 2026 (94%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.8M
Ends in 9 months
a close up of a computer motherboard in the dark
tech
58%

Claude 5 Won't Release by April 30, 2026 (58%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.3M
Ends in 1 month
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
90%

Putin to Remain Russian President Through 2026 (90%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.4M
Ends in 9 months
a close up of a computer motherboard in the dark
tech
59%

Google to Have Best AI Model by End of March (59%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.3M
Ends in 2 weeks
brown and black basketball hoop under cloudy sky
sports
50%

Jeff Hafley to Be Named Miami Dolphins Head Coach (50%)

Ranked by trading volume

$55.3K
Ends in 1 month
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
5%

CDU Set to Dominate German State Elections in Early 2026 as Global Electoral Shifts Loom

Germany's CDU will sweep Baden-Württemberg on March 8th (93%) and is expected to take Rhineland-Palatinate on March 22nd (75%), signaling a conservative resurgence ahead of federal politics. In South America, Colombia's PH Party will likely secure the most Senate seats on March 8th (86%), while Slovenia's Democratic Party is poised to win their parliamentary election by March 31st (86%). Hungary's opposition TISZA Party is expected to unseat the ruling coalition by April 12th (63%), potentially reshaping EU dynamics.

$1.9M
Ends in 6 months
red yellow and green flags
geopolitics
80%

AI Bubble Won't Burst by End of 2026 (80%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.0M
Ends in 9 months
a group of men standing next to each other
culture
90%

NVIDIA to Be World's Largest Company by March 31 (90%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.0M
Ends in 2 weeks
a pile of bitcoins sitting on top of a red table
tech
71%

Infinex to Launch Above $200M FDV (71%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.7M
Ends in 9 months
The spanish flag waves proudly against a blue sky.
tech
13%

SpaceX to Trade Under Ticker $STAR (13%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.9M
Ends 12/31/2027
a spanish flag flying in front of a building
tech
89%

SpaceX to Exceed $1 Trillion Market Cap at IPO (89%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.9M
Ends 12/31/2027
a stack of newspapers sitting on top of a wooden table
sports
23%

Aston Villa to Win UEFA Europa League (23%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.7M
Ends in 2 months
a group of people holding a protest sign
politics
97%

Macron Won't Leave Office by June 30, 2026 (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.8M
Ends in 3 months
A wooden block spelling crypt on a table
sports
63%

Golden State Warriors to Make NBA Playoffs (63%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.8M
Ends in 1 month
the israeli flag is flying on a pole
geopolitics
88%

Israel and Syria Won't Normalize Relations by End of 2026 (88%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.7M
Ends in 9 months
a yellow toy camera sitting on top of a table
tech
87%

Polymarket Won't Reach 90% Mindshare (87%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.6M
Ends in 2 weeks
red yellow and green flags
geopolitics
75%

Zelenskyy Won't Leave Ukraine Presidency by End of 2026 (75%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.7M
Ends in 9 months
a large building with a fountain in front of it
politics
97%

Ilhan Omar Won't Resign by March 2026 (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.6M
Ends in 2 weeks
a man walking out of a store
finance
73%

Silver Won't Hit $120 by End of June (73%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.7M
Ends in 3 months
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
politics
64%

Graham Platner to Win Maine Democratic Senate Primary (64%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.5M
Ends in 2 months
a man walking out of a store
tech
100%

GPT to Show Ads by March 31 (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.2M
Ends in 2 weeks
a group of flags hanging from the side of a building
geopolitics
77%

Russia Won't Capture Lyman by March 2026 (77%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.5M
Ends in 9 months
a sports direct sign on a brick wall
sports
39%

Mercedes to Win 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship (39%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.4M
Ends in 8 months
a man walking out of a store
tech
91%

Seeker FDV to Exceed $100M One Day After Launch (91%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.1M
Ends in 9 months
U.S. capitol hill
politics
96%

X Won't Be Banned in UK by March 31 (96%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.2M
Ends in 2 weeks
A black plate with the word 205 on it
tech
41%

2026 to Be Second-Hottest Year on Record (41%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.4M
Ends in 9 months
a view of the surface of the moon from the surface of the moon
tech
97%

OpenAI IPO to Value Company Under $500B on First Day (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.4M
Ends in 9 months
a flag with a star of david on it
geopolitics
86%

Russia Won't Capture Rodynske by February 28 (86%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.3M
Ends in 2 weeks
A group of people standing on top of a stage
culture
49%

8+ Major Earthquakes to Strike Worldwide by June 30 (49%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.0M
Ends in 3 months
A group of young men playing a game of basketball
sports
69%

MrBeast's Next Video to Get 35-40 Million Day-1 Views (69%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.1M
Ends in 2 weeks
Interior view of a tall building with pillars.
sports
100%

No Woman to Complete Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.2M
Ends in 9 months
two people dressed up as clowns working on a laptop
culture
95%

Jeffrey Epstein Won't Be Confirmed Alive Before 2027 (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.2M
Ends in 9 months
girl in white and black stripe shirt holding yellow and red plastic cup
culture
32%

Alphabet to Become World's Second-Largest Company by March (32%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.1M
Ends in 2 weeks
woman in bird costume stand during festival
culture
14%

Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner Tied for Next UK PM (14%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.0M
Ends in 9 months
brown and black basketball hoop under cloudy sky
sports
64%

Aston Villa to Finish in EPL Top 4 (64%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.0M
Ends in 2 months
two flags flying in the wind with a blue sky in the background
culture
30%

Super Mario Galaxy Movie to Top 2026 Box Office (30%)

Ranked by trading volume

$1.1M
Ends in 9 months
white concrete building with red and yellow flag on top under blue sky during daytime
crypto
60%

Based Prediction Market to Hit $1M Revenue Before 2027 (60%)

Ranked by trading volume

$17.5K
Ends in 9 months
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
politics
99%

Anutin Charnvirakul to Become Thailand's Next Prime Minister (99%)

Ranked by trading volume

$798.7K
Ends in 9 months
a large brown bear laying on top of a lush green field
sports
67%

Victor Wembanyama to Win NBA Defensive Player of the Year (67%)

Ranked by trading volume

$985.2K
Ends in 3 months
a man walking out of a store
crypto
83%

Supreme Court Won't Accept Sports Betting Contract Case by July 2026 (83%)

Ranked by trading volume

$909.9K
Ends in 9 months
a man walking out of a store
finance
100%

Oracle to Acquire TikTok (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$916.7K
Ends in 9 months
girl in white and black stripe shirt holding yellow and red plastic cup
culture
99%

MicroStrategy Won't Be Delisted from MSCI Index by March (99%)

Ranked by trading volume

$922.0K
Ends in 9 months
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
83%

Iran Won't Close Strait of Hormuz by March 31 (83%)

Ranked by trading volume

$897.9K
Ends in 9 months
red and white stop sign
crypto
82%

MicroStrategy to Avoid Major Crisis (82%)

Ranked by trading volume

$785.5K
Ends in 2 weeks
Crowd watching a performance with hands raised
culture
100%

Elon Musk Won't Post Fewer Than 100 Tweets in March 2026 (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$817.7K
Ends in 2 weeks
a flag with a star of david on it
geopolitics
30%

Israel to Strike 4 Countries in 2026 (30%)

Ranked by trading volume

$875.9K
Ends in 9 months
yellow and white plastic container
finance
72%

Gold to Hit $5,500 by End of June (72%)

Ranked by trading volume

$821.4K
Ends in 3 months
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
86%

China-Taiwan Military Clash Won't Occur Before 2027 (86%)

Ranked by trading volume

$796.3K
Ends in 9 months
Iranian flag waving amidst green trees
geopolitics
89%

US-Iran Nuclear Talks to Resume by March 31 (89%)

Ranked by trading volume

$630.6K
Ends in 2 weeks
red yellow and green flags
sports
81%

Cooper Flagg to Win NBA Rookie of the Year (81%)

Ranked by trading volume

$759.8K
Ends in 2 months
assorted-flag
geopolitics
100%

Israel to Join Board of Peace (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$809.7K
Ends in 2 weeks
a close up of a computer motherboard in the dark
tech
50%

xAI Has 50-50 Chance of Having #1 AI Model by June (50%)

Ranked by trading volume

$583.8K
Ends in 3 months
a laptop on a table
tech
84%

USD.AI to Launch Above $150M Valuation (84%)

Ranked by trading volume

$743.1K
Ends in 9 months
A bunch of money sitting on top of a table
finance
80%

USA to Win Women's Ice Hockey Gold at 2026 Winter Olympics (80%)

Ranked by trading volume

$668.5K
Ends in 2 weeks
Two flags flying in the wind on a sunny day
geopolitics
62%

Russia to Enter Dopropillia by June 30 (62%)

Ranked by trading volume

$490.9K
Ends in 3 months
A yellow arcade machine sitting on top of a wooden floor
tech
60%

Tempo to Launch Token by December 2026 (60%)

Ranked by trading volume

$691.1K
Ends in 9 months
A lime green nintendo ds is displayed open.
politics
67%

Delcy Rodríguez Won't Leave Venezuela Leadership by December 2026 (67%)

Ranked by trading volume

$463.8K
Ends in 9 months
a neon sign that reads 4200 on it
sports
69%

Lighter to Dip to $1 Before 2027 (69%)

Ranked by trading volume

$663.6K
Ends in 9 months
people walking near white concrete building during daytime
tech
95%

Doge-1 Lunar Mission Won't Launch Before 2027 (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$504.3K
Ends in 9 months
an astronaut holding a flag in front of a full moon
tech
55%

Tria FDV to Exceed $200M One Day After Launch (55%)

Ranked by trading volume

$492.8K
Ends in 9 months
Large stadium crowd illuminated by lights with "2026" displayed.
culture
51%

John Ternus to Become Next Apple CEO (51%)

Ranked by trading volume

$617.4K
Ends in 9 months
a large brown bear laying on top of a lush green field
sports
18%

Michigan to Win 2026 NCAA Tournament (18%)

Ranked by trading volume

$599.9K
Ends in 3 weeks
orange and yellow flag in pole
crypto
87%

Zcash Won't Hit $1000 by End of 2026 (87%)

Ranked by trading volume

$182.1K
Ends in 9 months
A control panel in a building at night
tech
81%

Aztec to Launch Above $150M Valuation (81%)

Ranked by trading volume

$420.0K
Ends in 9 months
The year 2026 in metallic 3D numbers.
politics
60%

Republicans to Control Senate After 2026 Midterms (60%)

Ranked by trading volume

$572.6K
Ends in 7 months
a group of flags
geopolitics
87%

Iran Won't Agree to End Uranium Enrichment by March (87%)

Ranked by trading volume

$558.9K
Ends in 2 weeks
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
94%

China Won't Blockade Taiwan by June 30 (94%)

Ranked by trading volume

$544.5K
Ends in 3 months
A purple and blue background with the numbers 2055
tech
82%

Gensyn Won't Reach $600M Valuation at Launch (82%)

Ranked by trading volume

$564.5K
Ends in 9 months
Three friends taking a selfie in a park.
finance
46%

No New James Bond to Be Announced (46%)

Ranked by trading volume

$550.9K
Ends in 3 months
a skateboard and a basketball on the ground
sports
33%

Miami Heat to Win NBA Southeast Division (33%)

Ranked by trading volume

$563.8K
Ends in 1 month
A purple and blue background with the numbers 2055
tech
22%

Anthropic to Lead Race to 1500 on Chatbot Arena (22%)

Ranked by trading volume

$336.2K
Ends in 3 months
a close up of a typewriter with a paper reading edge computing
tech
97%

Bitway Public Sale Won't Reach $2M in Commitments (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$428.2K
Ends in 9 months
Street sign for democracy burning at night
politics
87%

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter Won't Be Charged (87%)

Ranked by trading volume

$533.3K
Ends in 2 weeks
A flag flying in the wind on a cloudy day
geopolitics
97%

Zelenskyy and Putin Won't Meet Before 2027 (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$500.6K
Ends in 9 months
The year 2026 in colorful 3D numbers
tech
65%

Space Token FDV to Exceed $5M at Launch (65%)

Ranked by trading volume

$398.7K
Ends in 9 months
A person holding a bunch of money in front of a calculator
finance
62%

Vertiv Holdings to Join S&P 500 by March 2026 (62%)

Ranked by trading volume

$335.4K
Ends in 2 weeks
A flag flying in the wind on a cloudy day
geopolitics
84%

U.S. Won't Launch Anti-Cartel Ground Operation in Mexico by March 31 (84%)

Ranked by trading volume

$352.7K
Ends in 2 weeks
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
62%

Major Global Events Won't Disrupt 2026 (62%)

Ranked by trading volume

$332.5K
Ends in 9 months
a pyramid with some bitcoins coming out of it
politics
85%

Tim Walz Won't Face Charges in 2026 (85%)

Ranked by trading volume

$378.4K
Ends in 2 weeks
man in orange t-shirt sitting on chair
sports
68%

Tesla to Deliver Under 350,000 Vehicles in Q1 2026 (68%)

Ranked by trading volume

$477.4K
Ends in 2 weeks
man in black and white long sleeve shirt and black pants sitting on green grass field
sports
61%

JB Bickerstaff to Win NBA Coach of the Year (61%)

Ranked by trading volume

$476.0K
Ends in 3 months
a group of people sitting around a table eating food
culture
99.95%

MrBeast's Next Video to Hit 70-80 Million Views in First Week (100%)

Reused headline (confidence change: 0.0%)

$2.4M
Ends in 2 weeks
gold round coin on black surface
crypto
94%

Anthropic Won't IPO by June 30, 2026 (94%)

Ranked by trading volume

$471.3K
Ends in 3 months
red yellow and green flags
geopolitics
28%

Belgium to Lead European Nations in Palestine Recognition Push (28%)

Ranked by trading volume

$481.5K
Ends in 9 months
a helmet on a stand
sports
53%

Manchester City to Finish Second in Premier League (53%)

Ranked by trading volume

$475.6K
Ends in 2 months
A wooden block spelling crypt on a table
sports
26%

T1 to Win LCK 2026 Season Playoffs (26%)

Ranked by trading volume

$477.5K
Ends in 9 months
green and brown billiard table
sports
62%

Nathan MacKinnon to Win NHL Hart Memorial Trophy (62%)

Ranked by trading volume

$462.5K
Ends in 3 months
Friends toasting drinks on a sunny rooftop patio.
culture
44%

Michael Carrick to Become Next Manchester United Manager (44%)

Ranked by trading volume

$414.7K
Ends in 9 months
Apple sports logo on a dark background
sports
28%

Cade Cunningham to Lead NBA in Assists Per Game (28%)

Ranked by trading volume

$469.0K
Ends in 1 month
green white and red flag on pole during daytime
geopolitics
66%

US-Iran Nuclear Deal Won't Happen by June 30 (66%)

Ranked by trading volume

$450.1K
Ends in 3 months
a view of the earth from the moon's surface
tech
72%

Artemis II to Launch by April 30 (72%)

Ranked by trading volume

$428.8K
Ends in 2 weeks
a close up of a typewriter with a paper on it
crypto
74%

Belgium to Win FIFA World Cup Group G (74%)

Ranked by trading volume

$2.8K
Ends in 3 months
macbook pro on white table
tech
47%

Morgan Stanley to Lead SpaceX IPO (47%)

Ranked by trading volume

$426.5K
Ends 12/31/2027
a close up of a door handle on a wooden door
sports
22%

Dricus Du Plessis to Be UFC Middleweight Champion at End of 2026 (22%)

Ranked by trading volume

$284.4K
Ends in 9 months
brown wooden chairs inside building
politics
30%

Steve Bannon to Be Confirmed as Epstein Island Visitor (30%)

Ranked by trading volume

$438.1K
Ends in 3 months
a building with a sign on the roof
sports
59%

Lakers to Win NBA Pacific Division (59%)

Ranked by trading volume

$406.3K
Ends in 1 month
The spanish flag waves proudly against a blue sky.
crypto
84%

Solana Won't Reach $240 by End of 2026 (84%)

Ranked by trading volume

$400.3K
Ends in 9 months
a man holding a red and white kite on top of a tennis court
sports
48%

USA to Win 2026 World Baseball Classic (48%)

Ranked by trading volume

$378.8K
Ends in 5 days
woman in gray dress talking to phone
culture
87%

Foresee Public Sale to Raise Over $200K (87%)

Ranked by trading volume

$271.5K
Ends in 9 months
red and white stop sign
sports
74%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to Lead NBA in Scoring (74%)

Ranked by trading volume

$376.2K
Ends in 1 month
green and brown billiard table
sports
91%

Victor Wembanyama to Lead NBA in Blocks (91%)

Ranked by trading volume

$299.2K
Ends in 1 month
Two flags flying in the wind on a sunny day
culture
99%

Maduro Capture Video Won't Be Proven Staged (99%)

Ranked by trading volume

$276.7K
Ends in 2 weeks
red and white kanji text wall mounted signage
sports
55%

Knicks to Win NBA Atlantic Division (55%)

Ranked by trading volume

$392.3K
Ends in 1 month
computer processor
tech
42%

Paramount to Acquire Warner Bros. (42%)

Ranked by trading volume

$353.0K
Ends 6/30/2027
man using video game control pad beside man using computer keyboard sitting and playing video games
sports
64%

Named Storm Won't Form Before Hurricane Season (64%)

Ranked by trading volume

$249.4K
Ends in 2 months
business people store
culture
87%

Gemini 3.5 to Release by June 30 (87%)

Ranked by trading volume

$351.7K
Ends in 3 months
Friends enjoying a rooftop gathering with music and drinks
culture
52%

World to See Exactly 1 Major Volcanic Eruption in 2026 (52%)

Ranked by trading volume

$362.1K
Ends 3/31/2027
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
58%

Netanyahu Won't Leave Office by End of 2026 (58%)

Ranked by trading volume

$356.2K
Ends in 9 months
a close up of a glass bowl
finance
18%

Gold Prices Show No Clear Direction for June Settlement (18%)

Ranked by trading volume

$242.9K
Ends in 3 months
green and black computer ram stick
tech
75%

Solstice to Launch Above $50M Valuation (75%)

Ranked by trading volume

$342.8K
Ends in 9 months
text
sports
40%

Petr Yan to Be UFC Bantamweight Champion by End of 2026 (40%)

Ranked by trading volume

$245.6K
Ends in 9 months
A 3D image of a new year's eve sign
culture
74%

Tim Cook Won't Leave as Apple CEO Before 2027 (74%)

Ranked by trading volume

$359.1K
Ends in 9 months
Lisbon, Portugal 25th of April. The carnations revolution at Avenida da Liberdade. The one that stood for freedom
politics
14%

Rahm Emanuel to Announce Presidential Run Before 2027 (14%)

Ranked by trading volume

$325.9K
Ends in 9 months
a skateboard and a basketball on the ground
sports
3%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu to Have Biggest 2026 Opening Weekend (3%)

Ranked by trading volume

$328.2K
Ends in 9 months
a pile of money sitting on top of a table
finance
66%

Elon Musk to Become World's First Trillionaire Before 2027 (66%)

Ranked by trading volume

$328.2K
Ends in 9 months
a gold coin with a bitcoin printed on it
crypto
63%

Hyperliquid to Reach $46 by End of 2026 (63%)

Ranked by trading volume

$340.5K
Ends in 9 months
A flag flying in the wind next to power lines
geopolitics
89%

Foreign Intervention in Gaza Won't Happen by March 31 (89%)

Ranked by trading volume

$321.8K
Ends in 2 weeks
yellow and gray space craft toy
tech
81%

No Nuclear Weapon Detonation by December 2026 (81%)

Ranked by trading volume

$308.1K
Ends in 9 months
a glass block with a lit up logo on it
crypto
30%

Discord to IPO Under $15B Market Cap (30%)

Ranked by trading volume

$310.6K
Ends in 3 months
person using MacBook
tech
26%

SpaceX to Complete 7-8 Starship Launches to Space in 2026 (26%)

Ranked by trading volume

$219.6K
Ends in 9 months
a close up of a computer motherboard in the dark
tech
60%

Rainbow FDV to Exceed $70M Day After Launch (60%)

Ranked by trading volume

$190.0K
Ends in 9 months
red and white basketball hoop
sports
31%

Karmine Corp to Win LEC 2026 Versus (31%)

Ranked by trading volume

$222.8K
Ends in 4 months
a man walking out of a store
finance
34%

Silver to Settle Above $115 in June (34%)

Ranked by trading volume

$203.2K
Ends in 3 months
Men playing video games in a dimly lit room.
culture
98%

Zootopia 2 to Lead 2025 Domestic Box Office on March 15 (98%)

Ranked by trading volume

$283.4K
Ends in 2 days
two gold bitcoins sitting next to each other
crypto
84%

Robinhood Won't Launch Prediction Market by March 31 (84%)

Ranked by trading volume

$296.6K
Ends in 2 weeks
a man sitting in front of a laptop computer
tech
77%

Hurupay Won't Launch Above $10M Valuation (77%)

Ranked by trading volume

$190.9K
Ends in 9 months
a man walking out of a store
culture
97%

Jerome Powell Won't Face Federal Charges by June (97%)

Ranked by trading volume

$180.9K
Ends in 3 months
a pyramid with some bitcoins coming out of it
sports
26%

Detroit Pistons Lead NBA Best Record Race (26%)

Ranked by trading volume

$279.5K
Ends in 1 month
A wooden block spelling crypt on a table
sports
67%

Portugal to Win FIFA World Cup Group K (67%)

Ranked by trading volume

$11.3K
Ends in 3 months
a large room with a painting on the wall
politics
20%

DHS Shutdown to End Between March 12-15 (20%)

Ranked by trading volume

$259.3K
Ends in 2 weeks
Two men looking at a computer screen
sports
89%

Matthew Schaefer to Win NHL Calder Memorial Trophy (89%)

Ranked by trading volume

$256.3K
Ends in 3 months
brown wooden letter t-letter
politics
81%

Jack Antonoff to Attend Taylor Swift's Wedding (81%)

Ranked by trading volume

$208.1K
Ends in 9 months
a close up of a computer motherboard in the dark
tech
100%

Elsa to Launch Above $100M FDV (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$178.1K
Ends in 9 months
a close up of a glass bowl
politics
94%

ICE Shooter Won't Be Fired or Resign by March 31 (94%)

Ranked by trading volume

$264.8K
Ends in 2 weeks
a gold bit coin on a black surface
crypto
95%

Penguin Won't List on Binance by March 31 (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$198.5K
Ends in 2 weeks
the shadow of a person's hand holding a bitcoin
crypto
58%

Xi Jinping Won't Meet Cheng Li-wun by June 30 (58%)

Ranked by trading volume

$163.9K
Ends in 3 months
a close up of a computer motherboard in the dark
tech
73%

OpenSea to Launch Token by June 2026 (73%)

Ranked by trading volume

$246.7K
Ends in 9 months
white red and green flags on white metal poles
geopolitics
78%

Ukraine Won't Schedule Peace Referendum by June 30 (78%)

Ranked by trading volume

$161.3K
Ends in 3 months
yellow and gray space craft toy
tech
44%

SpaceX IPO to Value Company Above $2 Trillion (44%)

Ranked by trading volume

$193.4K
Ends 12/31/2027
the shadow of a person's hand holding a bitcoin
sports
73%

Stephen Curry to Lead NBA in Three-Pointers Made (73%)

Ranked by trading volume

$239.3K
Ends in 1 month
a bitcoin is shown on a black surface
crypto
50%

Klarna to Have Largest IPO Market Cap in 2026 (50%)

Ranked by trading volume

$166.9K
Ends in 9 months
Young woman listening to music with headphones at desk
tech
77%

US Won't Enter Recession by End of 2026 (77%)

Ranked by trading volume

$232.7K
Ends in 10 months
Basketball hoop and net against a bright blue sky
sports
32%

Jannik Sinner to Win 2026 Men's French Open (32%)

Ranked by trading volume

$234.7K
Ends in 2 months
man in white shirt standing in front boxes during daytime
politics
59%

Mamdani to Freeze NYC Rents Before 2027 (59%)

Ranked by trading volume

$226.5K
Ends in 9 months
a bunch of flags that are flying in the air
sports
50%

No Clear NBA Clutch Player of the Year Frontrunner Emerges

Ranked by trading volume

$230.2K
Ends in 3 months
a wall with many flags from it
sports
34%

Connor McDavid to Win NHL Art Ross Trophy (34%)

Ranked by trading volume

$186.9K
Ends in 1 month
a black and white photo with the letter g in it
politics
87%

Claudio Tapia Won't Leave as AFA President by July 2026 (87%)

Ranked by trading volume

$187.2K
Ends in 4 months
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
politics
82%

Byron Donalds to Win Florida GOP Governor Primary (82%)

Ranked by trading volume

$224.3K
Ends in 5 months
Apple sports logo on a dark background
sports
52%

Cam Ward to Be First Pick in 2026 NFL Draft (52%)

Ranked by trading volume

$215.3K
Ends in 1 month
black, red, and brown basketball hoop
sports
30%

Betis Eyes La Liga Top 4 Finish (30%)

Ranked by trading volume

$213.5K
Ends in 2 months
yellow and gray space craft toy
tech
62%

Hyperlend to Launch Above $20M FDV (62%)

Ranked by trading volume

$199.0K
Ends in 9 months
Crowd watching a performance with hands raised
culture
95%

Cannabis Won't Be Rescheduled by March 31 (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$206.8K
Ends in 2 weeks
red yellow and green flags
geopolitics
46%

Somaliland to Join Abraham Accords Before 2027 (46%)

Ranked by trading volume

$211.9K
Ends in 9 months
a person is casting a vote into a box
politics
93%

Kristi Noem Won't Leave DHS by March 31 (93%)

Ranked by trading volume

$135.5K
Ends in 2 weeks
a number of black and purple objects in a circle
culture
87%

Kanye West to Release Album in 2026 (87%)

Ranked by trading volume

$137.0K
Ends in 9 months
Apple sports logo on a reflective surface
sports
26%

Nottingham Forest to Face Relegation Threat (26%)

Ranked by trading volume

$211.6K
Ends in 2 months
a building with a flag on top of it
culture
96%

MrBeast Won't Hit 120 Billion Views by March 31 (96%)

Ranked by trading volume

$138.9K
Ends in 2 weeks
a city street with a bike lane painted on it
tech
95%

Bitcoin Won't Replace SHA-256 Before 2027 (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$121.8K
Ends in 9 months
two people dressed up as clowns working on a laptop
culture
78%

No One Will Be Jailed Over Epstein Disclosures (78%)

Ranked by trading volume

$198.6K
Ends in 9 months
girl in white and black stripe shirt holding yellow and red plastic cup
culture
71%

MrBeast to Hit 475 Million Subscribers by March 31 (71%)

Ranked by trading volume

$198.8K
Ends in 2 weeks
a person is casting a vote into a box
politics
82%

Alan Dershowitz to Be Named in Epstein Files by March 31 (82%)

Ranked by trading volume

$182.3K
Ends in 2 weeks
a group of people holding signs and flags
geopolitics
63%

U.S. to Engage Iran Militarily by March 2026 (63%)

Ranked by trading volume

$194.6K
Ends in 3 months
business people store
culture
71%

H100 GPU Rental Prices to Hit $2.50 by April (71%)

Ranked by trading volume

$153.8K
Ends in 1 month
a large brown bear laying on top of a lush green field
sports
54%

Ana Paula Renault to Win Big Brother Brasil 26 (54%)

Ranked by trading volume

$122.5K
Ends in 1 month
a close up of a circuit board with many other electronic components
tech
53%

SoundHound AI Bankruptcy Risk Reaches 53%

Ranked by trading volume

$151.9K
Ends in 9 months
a close up of a computer motherboard in the dark
tech
50%

Google to Lead AI Model Rankings by June 2026 (50%)

Ranked by trading volume

$192.2K
Ends in 3 months
Street sign for democracy burning at night
politics
91%

Mamdani Won't Open City-Owned Grocery Store by June 30 (91%)

Ranked by trading volume

$193.5K
Ends in 3 months
a skateboard and a basketball on the ground
sports
7%

Buffalo Sabres Lead Eastern Conference Title Race (7%)

Ranked by trading volume

$184.0K
Ends in 3 months
people walking near white concrete building during daytime
politics
90%

Erdoğan Won't Leave Power by End of 2026 (90%)

Ranked by trading volume

$185.5K
Ends in 9 months
a group of flags
geopolitics
62%

Abraham Accords Won't Expand by March 31 (62%)

Ranked by trading volume

$147.2K
Ends in 2 weeks
white box on white table
politics
57%

Maduro Won't Face Prison Sentence (57%)

Ranked by trading volume

$145.4K
Ends 12/31/2027
a sports direct sign on a brick wall
sports
53%

Arsenal to Win Carabao Cup (53%)

Ranked by trading volume

$182.7K
Ends in 1 week
brown basketball near basketball ring
sports
95%

Kylian Mbappé to Win La Liga Golden Boot (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$178.3K
Ends in 2 months
green and brown billiard table
sports
86%

Google Gemini to Score at Least 45% on Humanity's Last Exam (86%)

Ranked by trading volume

$170.7K
Ends in 2 weeks
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
62%

US to Conduct Military Strike Despite 'Nothing Ever Happens' Narrative (62%)

Ranked by trading volume

$171.8K
Ends in 2 weeks
A large building with a flag on top of it
politics
99%

South Korea's Kim Keon Hee to Be Sentenced to Prison by March (99%)

Ranked by trading volume

$153.1K
Ends in 2 weeks
Apple sports logo on a dark background
sports
61%

Deni Avdija to Win NBA Most Improved Player (61%)

Ranked by trading volume

$167.1K
Ends in 3 months
white and black braille typewriter
sports
100%

Connor Spies to Get Engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$129.6K
Ends in 3 months
flags on poles near green trees during daytime
geopolitics
92%

US Won't Declare War on Iran by December 2026 (92%)

Ranked by trading volume

$169.4K
Ends in 9 months
a man walking out of a store
finance
64%

Crude Oil to Hit $70 by June (64%)

Ranked by trading volume

$113.7K
Ends in 3 months
a group of people standing on top of a metal fence
sports
85%

Southampton to Finish Last in Premier League (85%)

Ranked by trading volume

$155.7K
Ends in 2 months
business people store
culture
78%

DeepSeek V4 to Release by March 31 (78%)

Ranked by trading volume

$125.2K
Ends in 2 weeks
a man sitting at a desk working on a computer
tech
96%

Waymo to Launch in Miami by June 30 (96%)

Ranked by trading volume

$155.5K
Ends in 3 months
a bunch of different colored balls with flags on them
geopolitics
70%

Hezbollah Won't Strike Israel by March 31 (70%)

Ranked by trading volume

$155.9K
Ends in 2 weeks
yellow and gray robot toy
tech
85%

Tesla-SpaceX Merger Won't Happen by June 30 (85%)

Ranked by trading volume

$80.3K
Ends in 3 months
red yellow and green flags
politics
16%

Bill Cassidy to Win Louisiana Republican Senate Primary (16%)

Ranked by trading volume

$150.4K
Ends in 2 months
woman sitting in front on table while painting
culture
90%

Major 7.0+ Earthquake to Strike by March 31 (90%)

Ranked by trading volume

$142.4K
Ends in 2 weeks
Apple sports logo on a dark background
sports
61%

Hoffenheim to Secure Bundesliga Top 4 Finish (61%)

Ranked by trading volume

$143.9K
Ends in 2 months
white and black quote print
culture
82%

Don Lemon Won't Face Criminal Charges (82%)

Ranked by trading volume

$140.5K
Ends in 2 weeks
a close up of a typewriter with a paper reading edge computing
tech
84%

Suez Canal Won't See 2K+ Container Ship Transits in H1 2026 (84%)

Ranked by trading volume

$122.9K
Ends in 3 months
person taking photo
culture
92%

No Major 9.0+ Earthquake Before 2027 (92%)

Ranked by trading volume

$136.9K
Ends in 9 months
a desk with several computers
tech
56%

SpaceX Won't Reach 200 Launches in 2026 (56%)

Ranked by trading volume

$93.7K
Ends in 9 months
beige and black mosque
politics
84%

Hong Wang to Win 2026 Fields Medal (84%)

Ranked by trading volume

$142.2K
Ends in 4 months
10 and 20 euro banknotes
finance
80%

ForecastEx to Self-Certify Sports Event Contracts by March 2026 (80%)

Ranked by trading volume

$125.8K
Ends in 2 weeks
the spanish flag is flying high in the sky
culture
50%

Elon Musk to Remain World's Richest Person Through March 31 (50%)

Ranked by trading volume

$129.7K
Ends in 2 weeks
Crowd of people in a busy electronics store.
culture
93%

Timothée Chalamet Won't Be Confirmed as EsDeeKid by June 30 (93%)

Ranked by trading volume

$104.5K
Ends in 3 months
Various national flags displayed on poles outdoors.
geopolitics
77%

US Won't Recognize Reza Pahlavi as Iran's Leader in 2026 (77%)

Ranked by trading volume

$97.0K
Ends in 9 months
a flag laying on the ground next to rocks
geopolitics
95%

EU Won't Dissolve Before 2027 (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$132.1K
Ends in 9 months
Apple sports logo on a reflective surface
sports
89%

France to Win 2026 Six Nations Championship (89%)

Ranked by trading volume

$107.2K
Ends in 2 days
a pile of money sitting on top of a table
finance
58%

10-Year Treasury Yield to Hit 4.4% Before 2027 (58%)

Ranked by trading volume

$78.7K
Ends in 9 months
a bunch of flags that are flying in the air
geopolitics
86%

Somaliland Won't Gain New Recognition by March 31 (86%)

Ranked by trading volume

$118.5K
Ends in 2 weeks
a pile of gold coins sitting on top of a table
finance
70%

Atle Lie McGrath to Win Olympic Men's Slalom Gold (70%)

Ranked by trading volume

$100.2K
Ends in 2 weeks
the shadow of a person's hand holding a bitcoin
sports
59%

Tom Aspinall to Hold UFC Heavyweight Title Through 2026 (59%)

Ranked by trading volume

$89.6K
Ends in 9 months
U.S. capitol hill
politics
88%

Vivek Ramaswamy to Win Ohio Governor Republican Primary (88%)

Ranked by trading volume

$103.6K
Ends in 1 month
a metal surface with holes in it
politics
95%

Claudia Sheinbaum Won't Leave Mexico Presidency by June 30 (95%)

Ranked by trading volume

$123.5K
Ends in 3 months
red and white stop sign
sports
68%

Petr Yan to Fight Merab Dvalishvili Next (68%)

Ranked by trading volume

$123.2K
Ends in 9 months
a bunch of flags that are flying in the air
geopolitics
91%

US Won't Experience Civil War Before 2027 (91%)

Ranked by trading volume

$98.7K
Ends in 9 months
Apple sports logo on a dark background
sports
39%

Drew Allar to Be Second Pick in 2026 NFL Draft (39%)

Ranked by trading volume

$79.1K
Ends in 1 month
Protesters hold palestinian flags and signs.
geopolitics
13%

Syria to Recognize Israel by June 30 (13%)

Ranked by trading volume

$99.5K
Ends in 3 months
a group of people holding a protest sign
culture
85%

No New Pandemic in 2026 (85%)

Ranked by trading volume

$89.4K
Ends in 9 months
Hockey figurines on an ice rink.
sports
77%

Napoli to Secure Top 4 Serie A Finish (77%)

Ranked by trading volume

$119.0K
Ends in 2 months
macbook pro on black surface
tech
98%

No Megaton Meteor Strike in 2026 (98%)

Ranked by trading volume

$82.2K
Ends in 9 months
a person is casting a vote into a box
politics
38%

Burt Jones to Win Georgia Governor Republican Primary (38%)

Ranked by trading volume

$83.1K
Ends in 2 months
an orange and black basketball on a yellow and green background
sports
17%

Elena Rybakina to Win 2026 Women's Wimbledon (17%)

Ranked by trading volume

$62.0K
Ends in 4 months
people walking near white concrete building during daytime
crypto
78%

Hyperliquid Won't Reach $200M Buybacks in Q1 (78%)

Ranked by trading volume

$100.7K
Ends in 2 weeks
a computer with a keyboard and mouse
tech
62%

GPT-5.3 to Launch by February 28 (62%)

Ranked by trading volume

$107.6K
Ends in 2 weeks
Iranian flag waving amidst green trees
geopolitics
52%

Iranian Regime Won't Survive U.S. Military Strikes (52%)

Ranked by trading volume

$61.1K
Ends in 3 months
A group of people standing on top of a stage
culture
72%

Cloudflare to Suffer Critical Incident by June 2026 (72%)

Ranked by trading volume

$74.2K
Ends in 3 months
a person is casting a vote into a box
politics
54%

Raja Krishnamoorthi to Win Illinois Democratic Senate Primary (54%)

Ranked by trading volume

$99.9K
Ends in 4 days
A computer screen displays code on a desktop.
tech
60%

Bitway to Launch Above $50M Valuation (60%)

Ranked by trading volume

$70.9K
Ends in 9 months
a golden sign sitting on top of a computer keyboard
culture
37%

Taylor Swift to Top Billboard's 2026 Artist Rankings (37%)

Ranked by trading volume

$77.8K
Ends in 9 months
assorted-colored flags waving in the wind
geopolitics
83%

US Won't Forcibly Remove Khamenei by March 31 (83%)

Ranked by trading volume

$99.6K
Ends in 2 weeks
business people store
culture
100%

Grok 4.20 Won't Launch Before February 2026 (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$66.1K
Ends in 2 weeks
a flag on a boat
geopolitics
68%

US Won't Give Ukraine Security Guarantee by June 30 (68%)

Ranked by trading volume

$78.0K
Ends in 9 months
two buttons with the flag of the country of north korea
geopolitics
92%

Russia Won't Enter Khatnie by February 28 (92%)

Ranked by trading volume

$57.6K
Ends in 2 weeks
The russian flag waves against a blue sky.
geopolitics
96%

US Won't Withdraw from NATO Before 2027 (96%)

Ranked by trading volume

$98.3K
Ends in 9 months
three gold bitcoins sitting next to each other
politics
72%

FBI Top Ten Fugitive to Be Captured by June 2026 (72%)

Ranked by trading volume

$51.8K
Ends in 3 months
Crowd watching a performance with hands raised
culture
100%

Bad Bunny and Harry Styles to Score Billboard #1 Hits in 2026 (100%)

Ranked by trading volume

$93.8K
Ends in 9 months
A stack of indian rupees on wood.
finance
40%

India's 2026 Inflation to Reach at Least 4.5% (40%)

Ranked by trading volume

$54.3K
Ends in 10 months
man in brown button up shirt sitting on chair in front of computer
tech
59%

OpenAI IPO to Close Above $1 Trillion Market Cap (59%)

Ranked by trading volume

$95.3K
Ends 12/31/2027
woman in yellow tank top sitting beside man in gray crew neck t-shirt holding bottle
culture
96%

Tim Cook to Remain Apple CEO Through March 31 (96%)

Ranked by trading volume

$89.3K
Ends in 2 weeks
Crowd cheering and recording with phones at a concert.
culture
82%

Mark Zuckerberg to Be 3rd Richest Person on March 31 (82%)

Ranked by trading volume

$87.1K
Ends in 2 weeks
a herd of buffalo standing on top of a lush green field
sports
40%

Carlos Alcaraz to Win 2026 Men's Wimbledon (40%)

Ranked by trading volume

$24.3K
Ends in 4 months
U.S. capitol hill
politics
72%

Maduro Won't Be Found Guilty on All Counts (72%)

Ranked by trading volume

$92.6K
Ends 12/31/2027
a building with columns and a dome on top
politics
68%

Magdalena Andersson to Become Sweden's Next Prime Minister (68%)

Ranked by trading volume

$52.3K
Ends in 6 months
Apple sports logo on a dark background
sports
20%

Manchester City to Win 2025-26 FA Cup (20%)

Ranked by trading volume

$49.2K
Ends in 2 months
a statue of a man in front of a building
politics
88%

Alexander Vindman to Win Florida Democratic Senate Primary (88%)

Ranked by trading volume

$85.9K
Ends in 5 months
a person is casting a vote into a box
politics
76%

Ethan Corson to Win Kansas Governor Democratic Primary (76%)

Ranked by trading volume

$49.8K
Ends in 4 months
a hand holding a pencil
politics
66%

Thailand Won't Choose New Prime Minister by March 31 (66%)

Ranked by trading volume

$50.6K
Ends in 2 weeks
U.S. capitol hill
politics
94%

Gambling Loss Deduction Cap Won't Be Repealed by March 31 (94%)

Ranked by trading volume

$83.2K
Ends in 2 weeks
a chain link fence
sports
76%

Brazil to Win World Cup Group C (76%)

Ranked by trading volume

$45.2K
Ends in 3 months
a stack of newspapers sitting on top of a wooden table
sports
50%

Ravens Head Coach Search Remains Wide Open (50%)

Ranked by trading volume

$44.3K
Ends in 1 month
a close up of a computer motherboard in the dark
tech
56%

AI Model to Reach Chatbot Arena Score of 1550 by December (56%)

Ranked by trading volume

$47.3K
Ends in 9 months
a bunch of different colored balls with flags on them
geopolitics
55%

Iran's Pezeshkian Won't Be Ousted by Year End (55%)

Ranked by trading volume

$75.6K
Ends in 9 months
a bunch of different colored balls with flags on them
geopolitics
86%

US Won't Conduct Cyberattack on Iran by March 31 (86%)

Ranked by trading volume

$74.2K
Ends in 2 weeks
The russian flag waves against a clear, blue sky.
geopolitics
52%

Elon Musk to Win Legal Case Against Sam Altman (52%)

Ranked by trading volume

$52.6K
Ends in 9 months
A blue bitcoin sitting on top of a gray surface
crypto
82%

Aster to Dip Below $0.40 in 2026 (82%)

Ranked by trading volume

$38.3K
Ends in 9 months
red and white basketball hoop
sports
48%

Italy to Upset England in Six Nations (48%)

Ranked by trading volume

$13.9K
Ends in 2 days
a close up of a computer motherboard in the dark
tech
69%

Market Set to Hit $10 (69%)

Ranked by trading volume

$34.2K
Ends in 9 months
two people dressed up as clowns working on a laptop
culture
80%

No US Bank Failure by March 31 (80%)

Ranked by trading volume

$24.3K
Ends in 2 weeks
a city street with a building and a lot of tall buildings
finance
84%

Tesla-xAI Merger Won't Be Announced by June 30 (84%)

Ranked by trading volume

$24.4K
Ends in 3 months
a man walking out of a store
finance
69%

Silver to Reach $90 by End of June 2026 (69%)

Ranked by trading volume

$67.3K
Ends in 3 months
a pile of money sitting on top of a table
finance
68%

S&P 500 to Gain at Least 2% in Single Day During Q1 (68%)

Ranked by trading volume

$55.6K
Ends in 2 weeks